India’s Steel Battle: Safeguard Duty, China’s Impact & Market Shockwaves

Episode 8 | “India’s Steel Battle: Safeguard Duty, China’s Impact & Market Shockwaves”

Overview:

In this episode of AI Market Minds, we unpack the mounting challenges facing India’s steel industry due to a surge in cheaper steel imports—particularly from China—and the government’s response in the form of a proposed 12% safeguard duty.

We explore:

1. The Influx of Chinese Steel – A 30% year-over-year surge in Chinese steel imports and the price disparity that’s making it difficult for Indian producers to compete.

2. Government Intervention – The Directorate General of Trade Remedies (DGTR) steps in, recommending a 200-day provisional safeguard duty on non-alloy and alloy flat steel products.

3. Market Reaction – How the stock market responded positively, with major steel companies like SAIL, Tata Steel, and JSW Steel seeing gains.

4. Small & Medium-Sized Mills Under Pressure – With profit margins down 68-91%, how are smaller producers handling the competitive squeeze?

5. Broader Implications – Could this policy lead to global trade diversion, shifting excess Chinese steel to other markets?

With India's position as the world's second-largest steel producer, this policy could be a game-changer—or just a temporary fix. Will the safeguard duty be enough, or does the Indian steel industry need to innovate and adapt for long-term survival? Tune in for the full analysis.

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